Bitcoin Cycle Score

Track Bitcoin’s cycle using seven on-chain, valuation, and momentum indicators combined into a single long-term buy/sell score.

SELL BUY
53/100
Neutral
Pulling toward buyMoving averages, Rainbow chart
Pulling toward sellVWAP / Volume profile, RSI (14)
BTC price$86,530
Daily close04 Oct 2026
HorizonMonths to years
Signals7 indicators · −1 sell, +1 buy
Rainbow chart20%
29% of history below, fair value $142,308
+0.42
Puell multiple20%
1.09
-0.06
4-year cycle15%
day 898 since Apr 2024 halving
+0.49
Moving averages15%
price/200SMA 1.21, 50>200 SMA, 20>50 EMA
+0.66
RSI (14)10%
68.7
-0.93
MACD (12, 26, 9)10%
histogram -64, rising
+0.00
VWAP / Volume profile10%
90d VWAP $73,043, 1y POC $63,956
-0.96

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How it works

How the score works

Each indicator gives a signal from −1 to +1. The weighted average maps to a score from 0 to 100.

0–20
Strong sell 20–40
Sell 40–60
Neutral 60–80
Buy 80–100
Strong buy

What drives it

Rainbow, Puell and the halving cycle carry 55% of the weight. RSI, VWAP and price-to-200-day are read contrarian; moving-average crosses and MACD follow the trend.